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🌊Riding the Wave of Change
Insights from Jon Gray on economy, AI and where to invest

Hey there!
It’s Sparsh here!👋
Blackstone President & COO Jon Gray recently laid out a compelling argument for investors and founders in both India and the U.S. 🗣️
He touched on how the firm is performing, the current investment environment, the major disruption of AI, the rise of alternatives, and the best places to deploy capital globally. including a sharp focus on India. 🇮🇳
Let’s dive in to know more! 🚀
🔍 How Blackstone Is Doing
Jon opened with a reflection on Blackstone’s forty-year journey, starting with just $ 400,000, now boasting around $1.2 trillion in assets under management and a market capitalisation of nearly $225 billion.
💰He credited this growth to three core strengths:
🔹A “North Star” focus on returns, disciplined due diligence and rigorous investment committees.⭐
🔹An entrepreneurial mindset, scaling from one U.S. office to 27 worldwide and from a single strategy to 80+ strategies.📈
🔹The advantage of scale: a vast portfolio of real estate, infrastructure and companies that generates unique insights into inflation, the economy and mega-trends.🎯
He also pointed to recent evidence of this scale advantage in action: six major deals across disparate geographies and sectors in the past year (data-centres in Asia, a U.S. fast-food chain, etc.). 💡
He emphasised that the firm was able to do so without needing a separate sponsor, thanks to its co-investment capability (US$11 billion in 2024) and trusted capital from investors.🤝🏻
Finally, he discussed culture: 60,000 applications for internships and only 138 hires, an average tenure of nearly 12 years for 300 partners, and many conference speakers averaging 20 years at the firm. Strong culture, he said, underpins everything. 💪🏼
🌍 The Economy & Investment Environment
Jon acknowledged that the world is currently facing real challenges—tariffs, geopolitical tensions, inflation and cautious consumers. Yet he encouraged us to adopt a balanced view: yes, clouds exist—but there are clear silver linings. ☁️

These factors, combined, suggest that while many expect a recession, in their portfolios, they’re seeing rising sales, increasing margins, and a less challenging debt environment—not the usual recipe for a downturn. 📉
🤖 AI Is “The Main Thing”
If there is one theme dominating his talk, it is AI. Jon called it the big thing—not just hype, but starting with a massive investment boom that sets the stage for a productivity explosion. 🧨

How Blackstone is investing in this wave
➤🤖Infrastructure for AI: chips, data-centres, power.
➤📕Legacy rules-based business transformation: claims-processing, accounting firms, application software (e.g., Norm AI).
➤🎯Risk discipline: Every investment memo now includes an “AI risk” section—whether equity or debt.
🌐 Best Places to Deploy Capital
Here he got specific about sectors and geographies—especially for investors/founders in India and the U.S.

🧭 Key Risks to Watch
Jon emphasised that with opportunity comes risk. He flagged these caution points:
AI valuations & speculative build-outs could lead to bubbles 🚨
Government deficits of 4-6% in major economies may push long-term interest rates higher and cap exit multiples 📉
Europe faces regulatory headwinds, immigration and political risk 🌍
U.S.–China relations need careful management; global supply chains remain uncertain 🔄
Technological disruption: Portfolio companies must actively monitor AI risk—not assume past business models persist ⚠️
🏁Conclusion
For investors and founders across India and the U.S., Jon Gray’s message delivers three primary take-aways:
1️⃣Be awake to structural change (AI + infrastructure + scale) and position accordingly.
2️⃣Look beyond the U.S. — India in particular offers compelling long-term growth thanks to massive infrastructure investment and rising middle-class demand.
3️⃣Use a alternatives and private-markets mindset: timing, access, scale matter.
Which area are you focusing on next? |
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It has been a pleasure! I will see you next week. Until then, stay motivated, stay strong, cheers!

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